Hurricane Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 8



036
WTNT24 KNHC 251451
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
1500 UTC MON AUG 25 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 72.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 72.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 72.8W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.0N 72.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.8N 71.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 70.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 32.2N 69.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 42.7N 50.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 49.5N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 72.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




036
WTNT24 KNHC 251451
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
1500 UTC MON AUG 25 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 72.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 30SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 72.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 72.8W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.0N 72.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 27.8N 71.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 30.0N 70.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 32.2N 69.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.5N 63.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 42.7N 50.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 49.5N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 72.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART