Hurricane Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 10



813
WTNT24 KNHC 260240
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 71.9W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 71.9W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 71.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.9N 71.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.3N 70.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.8N 70.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 100SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 45.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 51.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 71.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




813
WTNT24 KNHC 260240
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0300 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 71.9W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 71.9W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 71.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 26.9N 71.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.3N 70.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.8N 70.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 34.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.0N 58.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 100SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 45.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 51.0N 35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 71.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH