Hurricane Cristobal
Forecast Advisory 11
433
WTNT24 KNHC 260836
TCMAT4
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0900 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.9W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.9W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 72.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.1N 71.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.6N 71.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.6N 70.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 100SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 48.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 57.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 71.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
433
WTNT24 KNHC 260836
TCMAT4
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0900 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.9W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 71.9W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 72.0W
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.1N 71.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.6N 71.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.6N 70.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N 68.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 100SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 48.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 57.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 71.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
