Hurricane Cristobal
Forecast Advisory 12
060
WTNT24 KNHC 261435
TCMAT4
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 71.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 71.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 71.8W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.4N 71.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.9N 70.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.9N 69.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 70SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.4N 65.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 100SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.0N 51.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 210SE 150SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 58.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 71.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
060
WTNT24 KNHC 261435
TCMAT4
HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
1500 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 71.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 71.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 71.8W
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.4N 71.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 60SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 31.9N 70.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 33.9N 69.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 70SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.4N 65.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 100SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.0N 51.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 210SE 150SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 50.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 58.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 71.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
