Hurricane Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 18

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893
WTNT24 KNHC 280231
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 69.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 69.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 70.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N 66.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.3N 59.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE 80SW 30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.4N 51.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 47.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 56.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 62.5N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH