Hurricane Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 19

---

484
WTNT24 KNHC 280831
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 67.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 300SE 190SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 67.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 69.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.8N 63.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.5N 55.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE 80SW 30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 46.0N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 50.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 170SE 150SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 59.5N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...160NE 180SE 180SW 160NW.
34 KT...250NE 320SE 280SW 220NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 63.0N 21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 67.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA