Hurricane Cristobal

Forecast Advisory 20

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236
WTNT24 KNHC 281444
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 65.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 60SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N 65.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 67.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.7N 59.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.8N 51.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 70SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 80SW 40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.0N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N 36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 61.1N 25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N 65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN