Hurricane Edouard

Forecast Advisory 16

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144
WTNT21 KNHC 150853
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062014
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 54.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 54.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 54.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.9N 55.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.6N 57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.6N 57.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.1N 55.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.1N 48.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 41.0N 40.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 40.5N 35.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 54.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

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FORECASTER BERG