Hurricane Fay

Forecast Advisory 2



161
WTNT22 KNHC 102049
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 64.2W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 64.2W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 64.0W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 65.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.7N 63.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 60.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 64.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




161
WTNT22 KNHC 102049
TCMAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
2100 UTC FRI OCT 10 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 64.2W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 64.2W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 64.0W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 26.0N 65.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.5N 65.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 31.7N 63.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.7N 60.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 64.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART