Hurricane Fay
Forecast Advisory 4
226
WTNT22 KNHC 110231
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 64.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 64.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 64.2W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.7N 64.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.8N 64.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.9N 61.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 36.6N 56.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 64.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
226
WTNT22 KNHC 110231
TCMAT2
SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 64.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 64.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 64.2W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.7N 64.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.8N 64.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.9N 61.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 36.6N 56.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 64.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
