Hurricane Fay

Forecast Advisory 8



738
WTNT22 KNHC 120230
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 65.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 65.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.7N 63.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 58.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 65.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




738
WTNT22 KNHC 120230
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 65.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 65.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.7N 63.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 58.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 65.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




738
WTNT22 KNHC 120230
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 65.0W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 65.0W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.7N 63.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 34.6N 58.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 65.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN