Hurricane Fay

Forecast Advisory 10



545
WTNT22 KNHC 121433
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH
AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 62.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 62.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 63.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 36.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N 62.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




545
WTNT22 KNHC 121433
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH
AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 62.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 62.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 63.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 36.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N 62.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




545
WTNT22 KNHC 121433
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
1500 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH
AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 62.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 62.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 63.8W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 35.5N 59.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 150SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 36.0N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 36.0N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 34.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N 62.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA