Hurricane Gonzalo
Forecast Advisory 3
270
WTNT22 KNHC 130233
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 58.2W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 58.2W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 59.4W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 34.4N 53.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 90SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 90SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.9N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 170SE 80SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.4N 42.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 58.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
886
WTNT23 KNHC 130234
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTIN
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BARBUDA
* ANTIGUA
* ANGUILLA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* MONTSERRAT
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 60.2W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 60.2W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 59.7W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.9N 61.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.7N 63.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.8N 65.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 60.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
270
WTNT22 KNHC 130233
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 58.2W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 58.2W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 59.4W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 34.4N 53.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 90SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 90SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.9N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 170SE 80SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.4N 42.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 58.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
886
WTNT23 KNHC 130234
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTIN
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BARBUDA
* ANTIGUA
* ANGUILLA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* MONTSERRAT
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 60.2W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 60.2W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 59.7W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.9N 61.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.7N 63.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.8N 65.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 60.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
270
WTNT22 KNHC 130233
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072014
0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 58.2W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 21 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 58.2W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 59.4W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 34.4N 53.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 90SE 30SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 90SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 33.9N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 170SE 80SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.4N 42.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 58.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
886
WTNT23 KNHC 130234
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
0300 UTC MON OCT 13 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTIN
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BARBUDA
* ANTIGUA
* ANGUILLA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* MONTSERRAT
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 60.2W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 60.2W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 59.7W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.9N 61.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.7N 63.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.8N 65.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 66.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N 66.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 60.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
