Hurricane Gonzalo
Forecast Advisory 17
460
WTNT23 KNHC 161448
TCMAT3
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
1500 UTC THU OCT 16 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 68.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 68.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 68.7W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.9N 66.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.6N 64.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.5N 62.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 140SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 46.5N 50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 200SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 52.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 68.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
460
WTNT23 KNHC 161448
TCMAT3
HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082014
1500 UTC THU OCT 16 2014
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 68.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 68.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 68.7W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.5N 68.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.9N 66.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.6N 64.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.5N 62.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 140SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 46.5N 50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 200SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 52.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 68.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
