Tropical Storm Two

Forecast Advisory 1

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894
WTNT22 KNHC 212031
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022014
2100 UTC MON JUL 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 43.8W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 43.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.9N 45.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.3N 48.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.8N 51.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.4N 54.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N 61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 43.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN