Tropical Storm Ana

Forecast Advisory 4

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008
WTNT21 KNHC 082050
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015
2100 UTC FRI MAY 08 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ANA.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 77.4W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 0 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 77.4W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 77.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 31.9N 77.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.3N 77.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 33.0N 78.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 33.6N 78.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 36.0N 77.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 40.5N 69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 46.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.7N 77.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE