Tropical Storm Erika

Forecast Advisory 6

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520
WTNT25 KNHC 260837
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
0900 UTC WED AUG 26 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA.

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA...ST. KITTS AND
NEVIS...AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* MONTSERRAT
* ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 56.0W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 56.0W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 55.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.5N 58.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.2N 61.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.1N 64.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.2N 67.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.4N 72.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 20SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 26.0N 79.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 56.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN