Tropical Storm Erika
Forecast Advisory 12
760
WTNT25 KNHC 272036
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA
SAONA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ST. MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY
* MONTSERRAT
* ST. KITTS AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI EASTWARD
AND SOUTHWARD TO ISLA SAONA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 64.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 64.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 63.5W
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.9N 66.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N 69.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.7N 72.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.1N 74.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N 78.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 27.0N 80.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 64.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH