Tropical Storm Erika
Forecast Advisory 15
329
WTNT25 KNHC 281444
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...AND
GUANTANAMO.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 69.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 69.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 68.4W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N 71.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.8N 74.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.3N 77.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N 79.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 69.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
329
WTNT25 KNHC 281444
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052015
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...AND
GUANTANAMO.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.
THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* VIEQUES
* CULEBRA
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS,
HOLGUIN...AND GUANTANAMO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AS WELL AS THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FLORIDA KEYS...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 69.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 69.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 68.4W
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N 71.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.8N 74.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.3N 77.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.5N 79.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.0N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 69.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
