Hurricane Fred
Forecast Advisory 5
851
WTNT21 KNHC 310237
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 22.4W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 22.4W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 21.9W
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.2N 23.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.5N 25.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.8N 27.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 29.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.8N 32.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 36.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 22.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
851
WTNT21 KNHC 310237
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
0300 UTC MON AUG 31 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 22.4W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 22.4W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 21.9W
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 16.2N 23.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.5N 25.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.8N 27.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 29.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.8N 32.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 22.0N 36.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.0N 39.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 22.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
