Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 7



745
WTNT21 KNHC 311450
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 23.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 23.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 23.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.3N 25.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N 26.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 28.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.3N 30.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.4N 33.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N 37.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 23.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




745
WTNT21 KNHC 311450
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 23.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 23.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 23.3W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.3N 25.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N 26.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 28.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.3N 30.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.4N 33.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N 37.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 23.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN