Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 8

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160
WTNT21 KNHC 312040
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
2100 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 24.6W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 75SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 24.6W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 24.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N 25.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.2N 27.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.1N 29.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.8N 31.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 22.0N 34.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 23.2N 37.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 24.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN