Hurricane Fred
Forecast Advisory 12
391
WTNT21 KNHC 012034
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 28.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 28.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 27.6W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N 29.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N 31.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N 32.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N 34.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 28.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
391
WTNT21 KNHC 012034
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 28.1W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 28.1W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 27.6W
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N 29.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N 31.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.6N 32.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N 34.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.0N 37.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 28.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
