Hurricane Fred
Forecast Advisory 21
315
WTNT21 KNHC 040231
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
0300 UTC FRI SEP 04 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 36.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 36.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 36.0W
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.2N 37.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 39.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.9N 41.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.6N 42.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.3N 42.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 29.5N 40.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 36.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
315
WTNT21 KNHC 040231
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
0300 UTC FRI SEP 04 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 36.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 0SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 36.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 36.0W
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.2N 37.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.5N 39.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.9N 41.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.6N 42.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 26.3N 42.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 29.5N 40.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 32.0N 37.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 36.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
