Hurricane Fred

Forecast Advisory 25



055
WTNT21 KNHC 050232
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
0300 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 40.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 40.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 39.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.2N 41.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.9N 42.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.3N 42.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.1N 41.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N 33.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 36.0N 30.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 40.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




055
WTNT21 KNHC 050232
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
0300 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 40.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 40.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 39.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.2N 41.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.9N 42.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.3N 42.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.1N 41.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 34.5N 33.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 36.0N 30.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 40.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN