Tropical Storm Grace

Forecast Advisory 2



846
WTNT22 KNHC 052031
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015
2100 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 26.4W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 26.4W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 25.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 28.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.2N 30.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 13.5N 33.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.9N 36.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.8N 42.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 15.1N 48.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 15.7N 53.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 26.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




847
WTNT21 KNHC 052031
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
2100 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 42.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 42.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 42.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.5N 43.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.6N 43.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 28.5N 40.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.5N 37.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 32.5N 34.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 32.5N 32.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 42.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




846
WTNT22 KNHC 052031
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015
2100 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 26.4W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 26.4W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 25.7W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.9N 28.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.2N 30.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 13.5N 33.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 13.9N 36.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.8N 42.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 15.1N 48.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 15.7N 53.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 26.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




847
WTNT21 KNHC 052031
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062015
2100 UTC SAT SEP 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 42.5W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 42.5W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 42.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.5N 43.1W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 25.6N 43.2W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.0N 42.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 28.5N 40.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 31.5N 37.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 32.5N 34.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 32.5N 32.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 42.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA