Tropical Storm Grace

Forecast Advisory 12

---

460
WTNT22 KNHC 080838
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GRACE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 08 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 41.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 41.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 40.1W

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.2N 43.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.5N 47.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.9N 50.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.3N 54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.3N 60.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 41.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN