Tropical Storm Ida

Forecast Advisory 4



422
WTNT24 KNHC 190834
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015
0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 49.4W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 49.4W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 49.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 50.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.5N 52.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.1N 53.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.9N 55.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 49.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




423
WTNT25 KNHC 190834
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 38.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 38.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 38.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.3N 39.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.5N 42.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.6N 44.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.9N 45.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 38.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




422
WTNT24 KNHC 190834
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015
0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 49.4W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 49.4W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 49.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 50.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.5N 52.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.1N 53.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.9N 55.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 49.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




423
WTNT25 KNHC 190834
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 38.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 38.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 38.0W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.3N 39.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.5N 42.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.6N 44.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.9N 45.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 38.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE