Tropical Storm Ida

Forecast Advisory 7



005
WTNT25 KNHC 200251
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 42.4W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 15SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 42.4W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 41.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.7N 44.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.8N 46.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.9N 47.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.8N 48.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...90NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...90NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 19.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.3N 48.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 42.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




005
WTNT25 KNHC 200251
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0300 UTC SUN SEP 20 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 42.4W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 15SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 42.4W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 41.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.7N 44.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.8N 46.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.9N 47.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.8N 48.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...90NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...90NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 19.9N 48.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.3N 48.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 42.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN