Tropical Storm Ida

Forecast Advisory 12

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109
WTNT25 KNHC 210850
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0900 UTC MON SEP 21 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 47.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 90SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 47.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 47.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.7N 47.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.3N 48.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.4N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.1N 47.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.8N 47.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT...40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 50SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 21.8N 47.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 23.3N 48.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 47.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART