Tropical Storm Ida

Forecast Advisory 15



252
WTNT25 KNHC 220244
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 22 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 49.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE 80SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 49.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 49.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.9N 49.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.5N 48.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.9N 47.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 190SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.9N 46.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 190SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.3N 47.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 24.4N 48.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 26.2N 48.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 49.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN