Tropical Storm Ida

Forecast Advisory 16

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730
WTNT25 KNHC 220832
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.6W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 105 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 48.6W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 48.8W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.3N 48.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.9N 47.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.6N 46.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 190SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 20.8N 46.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 190SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.0N 46.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 23.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 25.2N 48.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 48.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART