Tropical Storm Ida

Forecast Advisory 19



672
WTNT25 KNHC 230249
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
0300 UTC WED SEP 23 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 46.8W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 0SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 46.8W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 46.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.7N 46.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.5N 45.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.0N 45.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 160SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.6N 45.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 170SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.0N 45.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 180SE 0SW 50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.0N 46.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 26.0N 47.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 46.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN