Tropical Storm Ida

Forecast Advisory 22



007
WTNT25 KNHC 232031
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
2100 UTC WED SEP 23 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 46.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 46.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 46.8W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.9N 46.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.7N 45.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 46.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 46.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.0N 47.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 25.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 25.5N 48.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 46.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




834
WTNT25 KNHC 232046
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102015
2100 UTC WED SEP 23 2015

CORRECTED INITIAL WIND RADII AND 12 FT SEAS

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 46.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 46.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 46.8W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.9N 46.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.7N 45.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 46.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 46.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.0N 47.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 25.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 25.5N 48.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 46.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA