Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 1

---

985
WTNT21 KNHC 280237
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
0300 UTC MON SEP 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 68.7W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 68.7W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 68.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.7N 69.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.9N 69.9W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.2N 70.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 28.8N 70.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 31.0N 71.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 68.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN