Hurricane Joaquin
Forecast Advisory 2
263
WTNT21 KNHC 280850
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
0900 UTC MON SEP 28 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 68.9W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 68.9W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 68.8W
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.6N 69.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 28.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.5N 70.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.2N 71.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 31.2N 72.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 36.2N 72.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 68.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
263
WTNT21 KNHC 280850
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
0900 UTC MON SEP 28 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 68.9W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 2 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 68.9W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 68.8W
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.6N 69.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 28.0N 70.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 28.5N 70.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 29.2N 71.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 31.2N 72.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 36.2N 72.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N 68.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
