Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 7

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594
WTNT21 KNHC 291435
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
1500 UTC TUE SEP 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 70.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 70.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 70.6W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.4N 71.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.3N 72.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.2N 73.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.1N 73.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 29.0N 73.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 34.0N 72.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 70.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BURKE