Hurricane Joaquin
Forecast Advisory 28
240
WTNT21 KNHC 041450
TCMAT1
HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
1500 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 420SE 300SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 67.1W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 32.8N 65.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.8N 64.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.6N 62.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.4N 58.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 42.3N 45.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 46.4N 29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 51.4N 19.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 66.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
240
WTNT21 KNHC 041450
TCMAT1
HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
1500 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 420SE 300SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 66.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N 67.1W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 32.8N 65.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.8N 64.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.6N 62.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.4N 58.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 140SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 42.3N 45.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 46.4N 29.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 51.4N 19.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 66.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
