Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 29

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886
WTNT21 KNHC 042046
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
2100 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 66.4W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..290NE 400SE 350SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 66.4W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 66.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 33.8N 65.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 35.6N 64.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.3N 61.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 39.2N 56.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.5N 42.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 200SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 46.1N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 49.7N 18.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 66.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART