Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 30

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096
WTNT21 KNHC 050231
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
0300 UTC MON OCT 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 65.5W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 300SW 540NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.1N 65.5W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 65.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.5N 64.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.2N 63.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 37.8N 59.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.5N 54.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.5N 38.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 45.0N 23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 47.0N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.1N 65.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH