Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 32

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772
WTNT21 KNHC 051437
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
1500 UTC MON OCT 05 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 64.6W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 420SE 420SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 64.6W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 64.9W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.3N 63.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.0N 59.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 170SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.3N 54.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 180SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.5N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 42.5N 32.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE 110SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 240SE 240SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 44.0N 21.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.1N 15.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N 64.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART