Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 33

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194
WTNT21 KNHC 052049
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
2100 UTC MON OCT 05 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 64.0W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 420SE 480SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 64.0W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 64.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 37.1N 61.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 38.7N 57.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 170SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.0N 51.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 200SE 200SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 41.4N 43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 240SE 240SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 44.0N 28.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 110SE 110SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 220SE 220SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 45.6N 20.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 48.0N 14.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 64.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART