Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 35



479
WTNT21 KNHC 060835
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
0900 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 61.0W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 61.0W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 62.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 38.8N 57.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.2N 51.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 41.6N 43.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 42.8N 35.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 150SE 150SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 45.5N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 47.5N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 51.0N 12.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N 61.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




479
WTNT21 KNHC 060835
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
0900 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 61.0W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 61.0W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 62.1W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 38.8N 57.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 150SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.2N 51.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 41.6N 43.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 42.8N 35.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 150SE 150SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 45.5N 23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 47.5N 16.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 51.0N 12.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N 61.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN