Hurricane Joaquin
Forecast Advisory 36
029
WTNT21 KNHC 061440
TCMAT1
HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
1500 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 59.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 59.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 60.4W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.5N 55.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 140SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.8N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 180SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.0N 40.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 230SE 210SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.3N 32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 150SE 150SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 46.2N 21.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 49.3N 14.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 49.8N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 59.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
029
WTNT21 KNHC 061440
TCMAT1
HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
1500 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 59.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......190NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 59.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.9N 60.4W
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.5N 55.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 140SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 40.8N 48.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 210SE 180SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 42.0N 40.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 120SE 100SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 230SE 210SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 43.3N 32.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 150SE 150SW 80NW.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 300SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 46.2N 21.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 49.3N 14.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 49.8N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 59.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN