Hurricane Joaquin

Forecast Advisory 37



940
WTNT21 KNHC 062038
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
2100 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 56.9W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 240SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 56.9W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 58.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.4N 51.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 230SE 200SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 44.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 130SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 310SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 46.5N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...220NE 300SE 240SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 48.0N 13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 49.0N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 56.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




940
WTNT21 KNHC 062038
TCMAT1

HURRICANE JOAQUIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112015
2100 UTC TUE OCT 06 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 56.9W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 70 DEGREES AT 20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 240SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 420SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N 56.9W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 58.0W

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.4N 51.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 110SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE 240SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N 44.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 210SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 60NW.
34 KT...200NE 230SE 200SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 44.0N 28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...140NE 160SE 130SW 0NW.
34 KT...300NE 310SE 270SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 46.5N 20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...220NE 300SE 240SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 48.0N 13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 49.0N 10.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N 56.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA