Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 1

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743
WTNT22 KNHC 090241
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015
0300 UTC MON NOV 09 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE ACKLINS,
SAMANA CAYS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND LONG CAY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ACKLINS...SAMANA CAYS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND LONG CAY IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWEST BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 73.0W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 73.0W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 72.4W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N 74.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.2N 76.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.1N 75.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 32.2N 71.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW AND FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 73.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN