Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 12

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314
WTNT22 KNHC 112033
TCMAT2

HURRICANE KATE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122015
2100 UTC WED NOV 11 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 56.4W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 38 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 210SE 180SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 210SE 300SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 56.4W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 58.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 40.1N 52.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 41.5N 48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 100NW.
34 KT...360NE 420SE 180SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.2N 45.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 150SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 43.9N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.
34 KT...480NE 480SE 100SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 51.9N 25.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 480SE 180SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 57.7N 13.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 56.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI