Tropical Storm Nine

Forecast Advisory 1



884
WTNT24 KNHC 161432
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015
1500 UTC WED SEP 16 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 43.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 43.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 43.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 43.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.3N 44.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 44.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.7N 45.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.0N 47.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.0N 50.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 43.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




884
WTNT24 KNHC 161432
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092015
1500 UTC WED SEP 16 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 43.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 43.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 43.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.0N 43.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.3N 44.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 44.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.7N 45.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 22.0N 47.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.0N 50.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 43.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN