Hurricane Alex

Forecast Advisory 2

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094
WTNT21 KNHC 140243
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
0300 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ALEX.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 30.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 150SE 120SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 30.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 30.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 30.6N 28.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.2N 27.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.3N 27.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.7N 29.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...240NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 58.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 0SE 0SW 180NW.
34 KT...420NE 360SE 540SW 420NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...MERGED WITH EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 30.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN