Hurricane Alex

Forecast Advisory 4



290
WTNT21 KNHC 141433
TCMAT1

HURRICANE ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012016
1500 UTC THU JAN 14 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE AZORES METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE ISLANDS OF FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA IN
THE CENTRAL AZORES...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS
OF SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE EASTERN AZORES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FAIAL...PICO...SAO JORGE...GRACIOSA...AND TERCEIRA IN THE CENTRAL
AZORES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO MIGUEL AND SANTA MARIA IN THE EASTERN AZORES

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 28.4W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 100SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 140SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 28.4W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 28.7W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 34.3N 27.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 38.9N 27.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 90NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 120SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.3N 28.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...210NE 150SE 0SW 120NW.
34 KT...420NE 480SE 180SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 53.0N 31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.
34 KT...420NE 660SE 240SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 28.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH